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Showing posts with label news. Show all posts
Showing posts with label news. Show all posts

Sep 9, 2011

Bombay Burma - why to buy

Ashish Tater on moneycontrol:
One reason why I like this is stock is their strong balance sheet. The stock might bore you from a  longer term perspective. It may be hovering around Rs 400-500 mark. As of now it is trading at Rs 407-410 levels. One can take a call of 20% from eight-12 months perspective.
From a balance sheet perspective, it owns almost 51% in Britannia Industries through its subsidiaries. Current market cap of Britannia is around Rs 5,600 crore. This 51% roughly works out to be Rs 2,800 crore and the market cap is Rs 560 crore. As a holding company it warrants that 20% discount. So it is fairly valued.
Its exposure to Bombay Dyeing was almost 14% so it is again a safe bet. Interestingly, Britannia Industries is available at a dividend yield of 1.6%, similar is the case with Bombay Burmah. They will be getting Rs 35-40 crore in terms of free cash flows to equities through dividends from Britannia.
Last year they sold their JV into the rubber JV. This year they have sold their sunmica division so there is some reorganization happening in Bombay Burmah or the Wadia group. There is lot of potential going forward. Their core business is tea and plantations and they have good presence in Tamil Nadu and Karnataka.
They have good ability to generate pre-cash flow to equity. So from fundamental perspective, if one ignores the balance sheet value it will be somewhere around Rs 180-200. On conservative side, the replacement value of this plantation business works out to be Rs 180-200 so Rs 400 plus the investment.
People try to get in the stock at Rs 380 to 400 because they have actually generated free cash flow of equity of close to Rs 165 crore. This year they have fetched Rs 100 crore on sunmica division and Rs 65 crore from JV ventures sell. It is a cash rage company with limited downside and has a potential target of Rs 500. One can take a trading bet in this turmoil times.

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HNIs raising stake in Bombay Burmah in moneycontrol
Most of the HNIs are looking for stories where there are embedded values and there is valuation in the subsidiaries. There are stocks that invest into group companies and other companies; the values of which are significantly above the market cap of the company. One such company is Bombay Burmah.

Bombay Burmah ’s market cap is at Rs 1,165 crore. Its total investment is Rs 1,710 crore. The total value of its investment is nearly 50% more than market capital. This would mean that the value of subsidiaries would be nearly 50% more than the market cap. In Bombay Dyeing , they hold 15% stake. In Britannia , they hold 25% stake. In Go Air , they control around 40% stake.

It’s investment in Bombay Dyeing, Britannia and Go Air is as follows:

Investment                   (Rs Cr)
Bombay Dyeing             400
Britannia                       910
Go Air                           400
Total                             1710

Go Air is an unlisted entity. CNBC-TV18’s analysis has taken the valuations on the basis of Spice Jet. Spice Jet was having an 8.3% market share and is commanding a market cap of about Rs 1500 crore. If one sees the latest figures that are released, Go Air has a market share of around 5.5 % and by that valuation, the figure should come at around Rs 1000 crore.

Also, there are media reports suggesting that Paramount is looking at buying the company. The management of Go Air denies this. But, the valuation that they are likely to pay for the 40% stake is around USD 100-150 billion. So even on the basis of this, it will command around Rs 1000 crore market-cap; and 40% will be around Rs 400 crore.

Thus, the total valuation of Bombay Dyeing, Go Air and Britannia would be around Rs 1700 crore.

Since all the investment is done via subsidiary companies, one would not see all the value of investments on the balance sheet side. Hence, it’s very important to see all the investments that are there in the subsidiary companies. This could be a good company for investment, as per CNBC-TV18 analysis.

This is not a holding company. It has operations in tea, coffee plantations, rubber, palm-oil segment. So it commands an EPS of its own. On trading basis, for FY07, it had an EPS of around Rs 34 and in FY06, it was around Rs 35. This means it is trading at around 24-25 times.

In the kind of business that they are in, this looks a bit expensive, if compared with the peers. But the valuations of the company make it attractive.

Aurobindo - JV with Russian company

Aurobindo Pharma today said it has formed an equal joint venture with Russian healthcare equipment company Ojsc Diod to manufacture and sell drugs in Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan.
Aurospharma Company, the new JV will set up a plant to make Non Penicillin and Non Cephalosporin Rx generics and other drugs that are categorised as Over-the-Counter (OTC) products in Russia, the company said in a release.
In addition, the JV will source Penicillin, Cephalosporin and few other therapy products manufactured by Aurobindo Pharma to sell in Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan.
Aurobindo Associate Vice President Vishnu Sriram said, "The JV format gives us an opportunity to localize our production in Russia. Using the Russian partner’s marketing vision, we will be able to enter the growing and challenging Russian market with greater confidence and expedite our presence in the market."
"Aurobindo will enrich the JV with its successful international experience in manufacturing medicinal substances and drugs – the so-called generics."
The plant to be built in Russia will focus on production of socially significant medicinal drugs.
The plant with the GMP standards will be constructed in the Podolsk District (Moscow region) and is expected that the construction will be completed and the plant will attain its rated capacity closer to the end of 2013.
"The establishment of the JV should allow us to become an important player at the Russian pharmaceutical market within the target period," Vladimir Tikhonov, Diod CEO, said.     
Aurobindo shares closed 3.31% higher at Rs 137.25 on the Bombay Stock Exchange today.

Sep 5, 2011

BHEL bags Rs 1395cr contract from NMDC

State-owned BHEL today said it has bagged a Rs 1,395 crore contract from the country's biggest miner NMDC for handling raw material at its steel plant at Nagarnar in Chhattisgarh.
BHEL will set up the Raw Material Handling System (RMHS) package for NMDC's three million tonnes per annum steel plant at Nagarnar in Chhattisgarh, on turnkey basis, the power equipment maker said in a statement.
The contract was signed in the presence of BHEL CMD BP Rao and NMDC CMD Rana Som.
The project includes Engineering, Procurement and Construction of complete RMHS, from receipt of various raw material (coal, iron ore etc) from wagon tippling to crushing.
The order envisages installation of conveyor length of nearly 30 kms.
The government has recently approved disinvestment of 5% of its stake in BHEL, which could fetch about Rs 4,320 crore. The government holds 67.72% in BHEL.
In 2010-11, the company recorded a turnover of Rs 43,337 crore and profit after tax of Rs 6,011 crore.

Aug 17, 2011

Tata Steel - LIC hikes stake

LIC acquires some additional shares to increase its holding from 13.97% to 14.06%.

Apr 16, 2011

BSE - Group A and Group B revisions

The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) today announced revision in Group A securities. The BSE will shift 19 scrips from Group B to Group A and transfer 18 scrips from Group A to Group B effective from April 11, a statement from the bourse said here. The firms to be shifted from Group B to Group A include Apollo Hospitals, Atlas Copco (India), BF Utilities, Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals, Coal India, Core Projects & Technologies, Emami, GlaxoSmithkline Consumer Healthcare, HMT, Indiabulls Power, Ispat Industries and Jubilant Foodworks. Among other scrips, Manappuram General Finance & Leasing, MOIL, Oberoi Realty, Rajesh Exports, SKS Microfinance, Sterling International Enterprises and United Breweries will be included in Group A, the release said. The 18 scrips to be shifted from Group A to Group B include Alstom Projects, CESC, EIH Ltd, Godrej Properties, GTL Infrastructure, Hindustan Oil Exploration Co, Hindustan Construction Co, IL&FS Transportation Networks, IVRCL Infrastructures, Jai Corp, Jubilant Life Sciences, MTNL, Nagarjuna Construction, Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Healthcare, Punj Lloyd, SJVN Ltd, TVS Motors and Welspun-Gujarat. Meanwhile, BSE has also decided to revise its Mid-cap and Small-cap indexes effective April 11. It will include Areva T&D India, Tata Communications, Housing Development & Infrastructure, Pantaloon Retail, DB Realty, Vardhman Textiles, Spice Mobility, TTK Prestige, Abbott India and Page Industries, among others, in BSE Mid-Cap Index. The BSE exclude Exide Industries and PTC India from BSE TASIS Shariah 50 index, the release said.

Mar 1, 2011

Sebi bars 6 entities from market

Sectoral regulator the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) today barred six market intermediaries from trading in securities for allegedly carrying out manipulations in various IPO issues and also slapped a penalty of Rs 36.09 crore.



"Roopalben N Panchal, Devangi Panchal, Dipak Jashvantlal Panchal, Hina Bhargav Panchal, Bhargav Ranchhodlal Panchal and Arjav Nareshbhai Panchal shall not buy, sell or deal in the securities for three months," the Sebi said in its final order.



In case the amount are not received by Sebi within 45 days, these persons would be restrained from buying, selling or dealing in securities market for a further period of nine years.



The case relates to IPOs of 18 companies during the period 2003-05. These IPOs include that of NTPC, IDFC, TCS, Suzlon, among others.



In 2009, Sebi had issued show cause notice against the six persons for opening thousands of demat accounts in fictitious names and even manipulated applications in the retail category of several IPOs.



"They retained a portion of the shares themselves and transferred the balance in off-market to financiers and others. They as well as the financiers and others made unlawful gains by sale of those shares," the notice had said.



During 2005-06, Sebi had restrained these persons from buying, selling or dealing in the securities market, including in IPOs.



Source: Business Standard

Budget 2011 highlights

* Fiscal deficit for FY11 at 5.1% ; FY12 seen at 4.6%
* Personal income tax exemption limit for individual tax payers raised to Rs 1.8 lakh from Rs 1.6 lakh.
* Tax exemption limit for senior citizens increased to Rs 2.5 lakh from Rs 2.4 lakh
* Eligibile age for senior citizens reduced to 60 years against 65 years
* No new tax exemption limits for women
* Tax exemption limit for ‘very senior’ citizens over 80 years at Rs.5 lakh
* SEZ to come under MAT.
* MAT raised to 18.5% v/s 18%
* Corporate surcharge reduced to 5% from 7.5%
* FY11 Fiscal deficit at 5.1%; F12 at 4.6%
* AC restaurants serving liquor to pay service tax
* Direct Tax Code (DTC) to be effective from April 01, 2012
* Divestment target at Rs.40,000 crore for FY12
* SEBI registered mutual funds permitted to accept subscription from foreign investors
* FII limit for investment in corporate bonds in infrastructure sector raised from US$20 bln to US$40bln
* SIDBI to create India Microfinance Equity Fund of Rs. 100 crore
* Special incentives for hybrid vehicle makers if Made in India
* Health Check-Ups in Private hospitals to become expensive
* Rs 52,057 cr for education sector
* Rs 58,000 cr to Bharat Nirman projects
* Social projects spending outlay up 17%
* 24% increase in educational allocations
* Rs 30K crore tax free bonds for railways, NHAI
* To tax life insurance service providers
* Servcie tax on hotel accommodation above Rs 1,000 per day
* Domestic travel to pay Rs 50 service tax, Rs 250 on international travel
* AC hospitals with more than 25 beds under service tax
* Import duty on gypsum and coal from 5% to 2.5%
* Fertiliser sector to get infrastructure status
* 7 Mega clusters for leather products to be set up
* Rs.200 crore for cleaning of rivers
* 7 Mega clusters for leather products to be set up
* 23.3% increase in allocation for infrastructure

Feb 27, 2011

MphasiS scrip hammered over price cut issues with HP

Source: Economic Times(http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/stocks-in-news/mphasis-scrip-hammered-over-price-cut-issues-with-hp/articleshow/7578006.cms)


Shares of MphasiS, the software firm owned by Hewlett Packard (HP), suffered their biggest-ever fall on Friday after outraged investors questioned the company’s corporate governance standards after it cut prices on contracts awarded to its parent.

Bangalore-based MphasiS shares fell 28%, the worst performance since its listing in 1994, to Rs 449.30. The company unveiled results on Thursday showing a 20% fall in net profit for the first quarter and a 8% fall in sales. The results, according to many analysts, could be attributed to the price cuts given to its parent HP on select contracts.

“MphasiS’ performance is now peripheral to the central issue of the shocking collapse in its governance standards. Post this result, the harm done to not only MphasiS’ but also HP’s reputation is likely to be long lasting,” CLSA analysts, Nimish Joshi, Bhavtosh Vajpayee and Arati Mishra said in a scathing report.

The controversy revived memories of a similar firestorm that erupted in 2003 when HP acquired Digital Globalsoft through its global purchae of Compaq. In 2003, Digital Globalsoft (then a HP-owned listed entity) went through a phase of price cuts from HP before the parent ended up buying the minority shareholders and delisting the company.

Around 70% of MphasiS’ revenue come from HP. About 10% is from projects it does for HP and the remaining 60% is through sub-contracting work. The pricing decline is in some of these projects which it does for HP’s customers. MphasiS sought to reassure investors that the poor performance can only be partially blamed on the price cuts.

MphasiS CEO Ganesh Ayyar said there was no reduction in its rate card with HP, the pre-negotiated billing rates based on which it does projects for HP, but only a reduction for select contracts that are on an end-user pricing driven model.

Revenue drop not linked to price cut

“We have followed a strict governance model when it comes to the rate card with HP,” he said. The payment, he said, is not a one-off because it is related to the achievement of a milestone. “The revenue drop has very little to do with the price reduction,” he said.

The company, among the first mid-sized Indian IT firms to cross the billion-dollar mark, has seen three successive quarters of margin decline and analysts on Friday were not buying Mr Ayyar’s argument. “Unlike its much larger peers, MphasiS, the India-based SI (systems integrator) majority-owned by HP, continues to march steadily backwards. The trend is in line with parent HP’s poor services performance in the same quarter, where services revenues went backwards as did margins. It sounds like HP’s service wheels are getting a bit wobbly,” said Anthony Miller, an analyst with TechMarketView.

MphasiS posted a net profit of Rs 227 crore, a 16% drop over the year-ago quarter and a drop of 20% quarter-on-quarter. Its revenues grew by 5% over the year-ago period, but dropped sequentially to Rs 1216 crore. In comparison, the Indian IT services industry grew 23% in the last 12 months. In dollar terms, the revenues declined 8.5% sequentially to $ 271 million

Feb 13, 2011

Invicta Meditek - 523844


Invicta Meditek - 523844 has been suspended from trading due to penal reasons. This is not listed in NSE. 

Feb 9, 2011

How Promoters cheat Shareholders - Moneylife article

Source: http://www.moneylife.in/article/71/827.html


Indian promoters manipulate accounts and market prices for two (opposite) reasons. The first is a traditional game, which the majority
of them play – siphoning money from the coffers of a listed company for personal gains. However, in a bull market, a reverse trend starts. Many of them are not interested in suppressing profits. They want to overstate revenues and profits because this boosts their market-cap in a rising market; it helps them to raise ‘free’ money. In the past three years, I have repeatedly expressed doubts about the genuineness of the financial figures of many companies, although foreign institutional investors (FIIs) and many renowned domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were shareholders of precisely such shady companies, even as many brokerage houses, print and electronic media were flashing ‘buy’ recommendations on them.

I mainly track mid-cap and small-cap companies. Large companies are smart enough to camouflage their figures. It is much easier to find flaws in the accounting of small- and mid-cap companies. What is the arsenal of tricks employed by promoters to siphon off money or fudge their accounts? How do they pump up their share prices and dump them on the public?
Here are dozens of examples of how promoters do it. These are actual examples, but we have opted to change their names because the idea is to educate investors about management tricks.
Suppress Income
Consider textile companies. All of us believe that they don’t make money. This is not true. It is only that the promoters are adept at hiding margins. Some listed companies have at least 15-20 private limited companies, two or three proprietary firms, five or six partnership firms in the promoter’s wife’s name, in his in-law’s name, in the married daughter’s name or even in the names of trusted employees who have been working with the promoter for 20-30 years. It sells finished products to private firms that are directly or indirectly owned by the promoters at cost price or even a small loss. Those private firms, in turn, sell the products to the dealer, wholesaler or distributor and make huge profits.

I am a textiles man and know exactly how this works. I can definitely say that listed companies like Ramdiya Mills and Karma Fabrics or Synth Fabrics – have adopted this practice since inception and continue to do so even now. If you look at their cost structure, it will become very clear. Ramdiya Mills and Karma Fabrics have large reputed brands. Since they buy hundreds of crores worth of yarn every year, they get it at the lowest possible price. They get an additional price benefit by making cash payments to suppliers. Since the product they sell is a premium product, these companies ought to have a net profit margin of at least 12%-15% whereas they hardly show a margin of 2%-3%. Text100 Mills is one of the oldest and reputed cotton textile mills with significant exports. But if you look at the segment-wise results, the cotton division always shows losses. Where is the money going? Most promoters either invest it in real estate or benami accounts in India or transfer the money abroad. Of course, each promoter has a different way of looting the company and siphoning off money. The promoter of Ramdiya Mills is a hands-on guy who looks after practically everything. They do not have senior professionals in purchase, marketing or branding. Since the promoter takes all decisions, overheads are also not large. In this category fall companies, like Gofar and other powerloom companies, whose expenses are those of a powerloom, but selling price is akin to the organised sector.
In some cases, shareholders’ money goes to support the promoter’s lifestyle. Look at a famous textile company like Monde Fabrics. It has a higher cost structure – the bigger the brand name, the higher is the number of employees. Monde’s production cost is slightly higher but not high enough to show losses. Also, they should be able to show very decent profits because they have the latest technology, wastage is low and the quality is very good. Their polywool fabric is the most expensive in India but their profit is negligible. Where is the money going? The promoter’s daily expense is in lakhs of rupees which is all debited to Monde’s corporate account. So, although the selling price of Daygod Mills is 20% lower than Monde’s, its margin is higher.
Under-reporting of revenues is also rampant in the steel industry, especially in Kolkata-based companies. Each listed company has at least six or seven unlisted companies through which they do a lot of adjustments, depending on the opportunity. They decide where to show profits and when to disguise them. In this category are companies like Prism Steel and Modern Metals. Look at Modern Metals and compare it with River Electricity, a company with a similar profile. River Electricity did not have captive mines and neither did Modern. But profit margins of Modern have been very low. Their profits are vanishing through their unlisted group companies.
I had met the promoter of Auto Parts some time ago. He had some unlisted group companies with negligible profit margins and plans to merge them. He said: “I will merge all these companies and my profit will be so much higher.” I asked: How? He said: “I am suppressing the profit in these unlisted companies to reduce my tax liability.” I asked: “What is the guarantee that you will pay income tax and will not siphon off funds after merging these companies? If you don’t want to pay the government, what is the guarantee that you will pay shareholders?” Analysts usually don’t know all this; they recommended the stock even at Rs300-Rs350. It is down to just Rs30 now. Business performance has been poor.
Sell in Cash
Dealing in cash is very common in the steel industry. Cash sales take place and are not reflected in the books. That is why you will find that raw material costs rise disproportionately. I knew a person who used to be with a sponge-iron company near Mumbai. He told me that every year they sell Rs500 crore worth of sponge-iron from their plant, in cash. But all purchases and expenses are being fully accounted in the books along with the promoter’s personal expenses.

Take the example of Kanaka Leaf. Why did that company become sick? I know a manager of one of its factories. He tells me that he used to take out 90% of the stock in cash and pay excise duty only on 10% of the goods. That is one reason why this firm got into legal trouble and that factory had to be closed. He was no longer on the payroll; but the owner was still paying him Rs25,000 per month. You always know which companies are selling in cash by sniffing around at the commodity markets. Look at the textile company ABC. If you go to the textile market any time, you can buy ABC products in cash. There used to be a company called Garvi Fils which closed down. It used to sell most of its production in cash. In any textile market, you can get a list of companies which will sell yarn in cash. All of them book expenses fully; sell in cash and claim that costs have gone up. This is how they fool investors.
One major way in which promoters enrich themselves is by selling waste (or passing off even quality material as waste) in cash and pocket the money. This is rampant in the metals and cable industry. Jewel Steel is the king of this. It sells waste as well as fresh material as waste. It even sells zinc which is used for galvanising. You can go to any metal merchant in Delhi and enquire how much zinc Jewel Steel is selling and how much copper Melton Cable is selling in the open market. This is a common feature of the metal traders in Delhi where almost 80% of the business is done in cash. Companies sell to wholesalers; wholesalers sell to small converters and so on. There is an active cash market and promoters are able to sell as much of quality finished goods, raw materials, by-products or waste.
Fake Bills 
The most common practice among corporates is to buy fake bills for a small price, make the payment against these bills by cheque and instead of receiving goods, ask for the money back in cash. This is a common practice among the marwari business houses of Kolkata. They buy bills of Rs10 crore or Rs20 crore ostensibly for raw material purchase and pay for it by cheque. The material never comes to the warehouse; instead they get the money back in cash, minus a tiny commission for the fake bill. Naturally, the companies show losses or meagre profits. They are not inefficient companies, neither are the promoters fools. They simply siphon off cash by buying the bills and under-report sales. This leads to losses.

Siphon Windfall Gains 
Monde Textiles sold off its unrelated businesses a few years ago but did not pay anything to shareholders. Take Harry & Mala. Around three years ago, it had sold some real estate and had realised around Rs70 crore. No one knows where that money has gone. Another pharma company, Rockhard Life sold its IV-fluids business for about Rs160 crore to a US company. At that time, it was believed that it would use this money to retire debt but what did they actually do with the Rs160 crore?

Well, Rockhard had paid about Rs90 crore to buy a pharma company called Rind Ltd which had a plant near Mumbai. The factory land was sold to a partnership firm belonging to the promoters for just Rs10 crore. So they had a loss of Rs80 crore in the books. This loss was adjusted against the profit from the sale of IV-fluids business. The land on which Rind was located is probably worth Rs500 crore. The same thing happened in Gush Bio which sold all its assets to Darling Biotech. The CFO of Darling had told me that the cash consideration was around Rs60 crore. If Gush cannot survive and the product is not profitable, why doesn’t the promoter sell the whole company? Why is he selling the assets? Did he invite competitive bids? Was the process transparent? So Gush becomes a shell company and shareholders are cheated.
The Indian Spinning Mills closed down due to losses. It had huge land in central Mumbai. The company floated a separate entity and transferred all the surplus land to it for just Rs200 crore. The promoter is now reaping thousands of crores of rupees by developing that land. Why didn’t Indian Spinning Mills develop the land? Primex Textiles is a south-based company with a large land bank. It is developing the land but construction is being done by a partnership firm controlled by the promoters. The deal is such that Primex Textiles will get peanuts.
Real estate companies, big and small, are notorious. When they buy land from villagers or from small landowners, they pay as much as 75% in cash. Where do they generate the cash from? Often, the land is bought in the name of promoter’s firms and then transferred to the listed company at inflated prices.
Fake Exports, Foreign Acquisitions 
In a bull market, higher revenues and profits benefit the promoters directly, and instantly, in the form of higher market capitalisation. How do they boost revenues and profits? Often, by transferring illegal money that is stashed abroad by promoters, builders, bureaucrats and politicians to Indian companies through banking channels; it is shown as export proceeds. Many companies suddenly become zero-to-hero, showing a meteoric rise in the topline in just a few quarters. Unknown promoters from unknown companies suddenly do far better than their established competitors.

Over the past three years, major accounting frauds have occurred on the export income front because export income is tax-exempt – companies have to just pay Minimum Alternate Tax (MAT). Such income is not easily traceable and comes in handy to boost market-cap. So, promoters, who could not carve out a respectable niche in India, have become leaders in the international arena, even as global companies want to come to India! Such companies continue to show consistent performance quarter after quarter – until the music stops.
Badami is a big group now, but when I was in textile exports, I often received offers that went something like this: if you have an export turnover of Rs10 crore, you give it to Badami and you will get X% for it. Badami will export the product and claim export benefits, consequently increasing the size of their balance sheet. There is a company called Ecstasy Pharma. They suddenly started showing huge turnover and profit. For nine months ended December 2008, they reported a turnover of Rs110 crore and a net profit of Rs30 crore; yet they have paid income-tax of only Rs38 lakh for those nine months! I do not know how this is possible; even MAT should be higher than that. Maybe they will make a higher provision at the end of the year. But I have a strong suspicion that the exports are cooked up. Drug exports are not a profitable business. The margins are much lower than those in the domestic market; global giants like Dr Reddy’s, Ranbaxy and Cipla – major exporters from India – do not have such profit margins and this company has a pre-tax margin of 33%! Companies that are in formulations have to spend a lot on R&D and employee cost is high. The employee cost of Ecstasy is just 1.7% of the turnover.
Now look at TV Lab. In 2007-08, on a turnover of Rs1,032 crore, it had a net profit of around Rs347 crore. This company is only in bulk drugs, not formulations. It claims to be in contract research and manufacturing, but which other company has margins like TV’s? I know dozens of genuine promoters in the pharma industry very closely who say they can’t see how one can make so much money. The share price of Churchgate Technologies has crashed to Rs40 from a high of Rs2,000. They used to claim they were in the higher-end BPO business. But profits are plummeting and so is the share price. These promoters are essentially laundering money in the garb of export income. Money comes into the company’s books and they show significant profits for three or four quarters. After this, there is an announcement that it is acquiring an overseas company in an all-cash deal. The money that was laundered goes out through official legal channels. It can again be recycled into India as export income.
There is a software company called Dorion. It invested around Rs68 crore in a subsidiary in the US. The company’s total turnover is around Rs200 crore and it made a profit of only Rs53 crore in two years. It took a secured loan of Rs40 crore and promptly gave a loan, which is unsecured, to another company ‘to be recovered in cash or kind’. In effect, it has taken a secured loan to lend the money as an unsecured loan! In such cases, what usually happens is that after five years or so the company will admit that the loan cannot be recovered and write it off against some claimed goodwill or brands or tiny assets whose value is exaggerated. That is how money is siphoned off. Such money laundering cannot be carried on beyond a few years because the main purpose is to dump shares in a bull market. When the share price rises, they sell their benami holdings and extract value out of their listed entity.
False News 
Another way of fooling the investing public is by making bogus announcements – such as bagging new orders or signing a memorandum of understanding (MoU). This is easy. Any corporate can get any number of orders or MoUs signed with overseas customers. They have to pay nothing. They just have to tell those customers abroad that they need such orders in hand to get bank limits sanctioned. The foreign party sends a fax or signs the MoU because it has nothing to lose; it is in another country and not accountable to anybody here. There used to be a company called Shree Dhatu. Three years ago, the promoter used to claim he has orders worth Rs800 crore but I don’t ever remember his having reported a quarterly turnover of more than Rs20 crore-Rs30 crore. Karnet Builders has a small piece of land near Mumbai. But they have been making regular announcements about their large land bank, orders received, partnerships, etc, and nothing has happened until now. It is all false.

Pump-and-dump with Operators 
Market operators are an essential component of a bull market. Promoters need them to cheat investors through price rigging and profit rigging. The usual route is to show exaggerated profits, loan shares to operators and unload the promoter’s holding. Promoters usually collude with market operators who flaunt the right connections – foreign and Indian institutional investors as clients. It is an open secret in Mumbai that many fund managers receive huge kickbacks for investing in certain companies with an assurance from the promoter/operators that they can exit at a high price through market manipulation.

When Laltane Solutions made its IPO, some Delhi-based operators regularly contacted me to say that the stock would list at Rs500 against an issue price of Rs250. They offered me shares at Rs400 and openly admitted that they belonged to the promoter. That is how they made money in the stock market. When you think of operators, don’t think of shadowy individuals. They could well be institutions with a big name and shining public image.
Empire Clay is a company with an equity of Rs4.47 crore, belonging to an illustrious business family. Its share price started rising from Rs300-Rs400 all the way to Rs3,700, hitting the upper circuit for days together at a stretch. Volumes shot up as well. During that phase, promoters offloaded their holding. When it was around Rs2,500, a broker friend advised me to purchase this scrip. He told me that a relative of his works in a well-known institution called SLIP and he says its price will be Rs10,000. SLIP had made a presentation which was widely circulated among FIIs and high-networth investors to promote the company. Later, my friend told me that SLIP had a mandate from the promoter to implant in its presentation the idea that the share price would hit Rs10,000. It would allow the promoters to sell a part of their holding. Another operator/institution came out with a buy report on Square Tubes when its price was Rs85 with a price target of Rs150 – now the price is Rs11. I think, the institutions have an understanding with the promoters. They officially or unofficially charge a price for circulating such reports.
Remember the hype about the power sector before a major company made its IPO? A grey market had sprung up for the issue quoting a price of Rs800, when the IPO was at Rs450. Operators in Ahmedabad actually ‘bought’ some shares from the public at Rs800 but immediately sold them at Rs790. They created an impression that this grey market was genuine and I could sell my shares at Rs800. The operators lost some money, which was compensated, and the company raised thousands of crores.
In several IPOs, promoters give operators a kickback of as much as 40% to get the issue subscribed. Once it is subscribed, operators who own most of the floating stock are able to ramp up the share price immediately on listing and start exiting. Their risk is minimal because they have already taken a 40% kickback.
Visher Agro buys wheat from the market, converts it into flour and sells it to a food company selling branded atta. It is also into rice milling. It is not selling anything under its own brand name. It is just a converter. The promoter entered into an agreement with an operator and his share price rose to Rs200+ from just Rs15; it has now dropped to Rs49. He claims to have set up an unlisted company which will set up a 20MW co-generation power plant for which he is in talks with Blackstone. He was making up this story but he could not succeed in raising the money as the operator quit the counter. The share price is now languishing at Rs49.
Broken Pacts 
Another trick by Indian promoters is to announce a joint venture (JV) for a new project. After a while, there are reports about differences between the JV partners. The money invested in the JV is never recovered. It is written off over five or seven years. All this is well-planned. The JV is floated precisely to siphon off money by taking away money invested in the JV. For instance, Albert Hotels of Bengaluru paid Rs15 crore as its share in a JV with a Pune-based company to set up a five-star hotel in Pune. It later pulled out of the venture due to differences over management control and said it would file a lawsuit to recover its investment. But industry sources told me that the promoter has already taken back the money in cash and written off the investment in its books. This is a popular trick among marwari companies. They lend money to unlisted companies owned by the promoters either directly or indirectly and the money is never recovered.

How can we prevent such abuse? Unfortunately, Indian laws are not stringent enough and existing laws are not being implemented earnestly or swiftly. The auditors do what the promoter tells them to – no matter how big the audit firm. The Satyam saga has, indeed, made many promoters more circumspect and some may even scale down the level of their money laundering.
As all these examples show, Indian promoters are not stupid or less intelligent or don’t know how to run their businesses. They are actually a step ahead of other professionally managed companies. They are much more intelligent, savvy and street smart. They know how to negotiate with suppliers for the lowest possible price, how to cut costs and how to siphon off money. Most of them have trusted people or relatives in key strategic posts to prevent pilferage. Even while selling, they know how to negotiate hard to get the highest price. They work hard and make a lot of money but they don’t want to share it with you.

Dec 19, 2010

Historical sensex and bse 100 performance - 1978 to 2010

BSE 100 Index introduced from October 14, 1996 was previously known as BSE National Index. BSE National Index (Base:1983-84 =
100) comprised 100 stocks listed at five major stock exchanges in India - Mumbai, Calcutta, Delhi, Ahmedabad and Madras, while BSE 100 index takes into account only the prices of stocks listed at BSE.


Year
BSE Sensex
(Base : 1978-79 =100)
BSE 100
(Base : 1983-84 = 100)
1980-81  
138.87
-
1981-82  
207.91
-
1982-83  
221.51
-
1983-84  
238.33
100.00
1984-85  
266.19
116.01
1985-86  
492.23
216.99
1986-87  
567.39
256.85
1987-88  
454.46
232.23
1988-89  
613.66
307.84
1989-90  
729.49
384.84
1990-91  
1049.53
536.99
1991-92  
1879.51
916.63
1992-93  
2895.67
1321.04
1993-94  
2898.69
1373.00
1994-95  
3974.91
1899.53
1995-96  
3288.68
1525.93
1996-97  
3469.24
1554.64
1997-98  
3812.86
1650.07
1998-99  
3294.78
1457.07
1999-00  
4658.63
2278.16
2000-01  
4269.69
2170.51
2001-02  
3331.95
1587.70
2002-03  
3206.29
1597.32
2003-04  
4492.19
2315.70
2004-05  
5740.99
3083.25
2005-06  
8278.55
4380.71
2006-07  
12277.33
6242.73
2007-08  
16568.89
8691.47
2008-09  
12365.55
6434.69
2009-10  
15585.21
8187.25

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